Why Copying RN1, $13 Million in Profits, Loses Money

Huge profits, a tiny margin

At the end of October 2026, RN1 showed more than $13 million in profit… on more than $1.4 billion traded. Relative to volume, that is a margin of less than 1% per dollar traded. That figure, not the total profit, is what matters to a copier.

A bot, not a forecaster

When we measured it in October 2026, the account placed nearly 14,000 orders on 2,359 markets in a single day. No human does that: it is a program exploiting small price gaps, very fast, across a huge number of markets.

Taken one by one, at equal stakes, its picks of that day even lost money (−3.7%). It wins another way:

• through speed: it buys before the price moves;
• through its place in the order book: it posts orders that others fill, captures the spread and doesn't pay taker fees;
• through volume: 1% on hundreds of millions is a lot of money.

What the copier goes through

The copier arrives later: buys at the displayed price, pays the spread instead of capturing it, and pays Polymarket's fees. At the prices RN1 was buying, those fees averaged 2.7%, well above RN1's margin. Add a copy bot's fee and the copy is losing from the start, even with a free tool.

This isn't theory: a PolyCopy user who followed RN1 ended up losing over the same period in which RN1 made $9.7 million, on the same markets.

The lesson

To pick a trader to copy, never look only at their profit. Look at:

• their margin per bet (profit / volume) and the quality of their picks at equal stakes;
• their pace: a few considered bets a day, not thousands of orders;
• the timing of their bets: before the event, not during it.

Our full method: Which Polymarket traders to copy? And RN1's current numbers are on its profile page.