Wins through sizing
anoin123: Polymarket trader profile
Polymarket results: −$4.69M all-time, +$949,036 over the last 30 days. Main markets: economy and finance. Ranking: #14 on the monthly leaderboard.
Results
- All-time−$4.69M on $125,996,903 traded
- Last 30 days+$949,036 on $5,855,560 traded
Source: Polymarket, refreshed every 10 minutes.
All-time results by topic: politics −$4.96M, economy +$299,726, finance +$116,728.
The one-good-month mirage: +$949,036 over the last 30 days, but −$4.69M all-time. A monthly leaderboard says nothing about a career: that is why we judge traders over 12 months.
Playing style this month
- Pace: 19.4 new positions a day on average, 391 orders filled a day.
- Markets: 48% geopolitics, 32% politics, 11% other of this month's stakes.
- Median buy price: 0.38 (fairly balanced outcomes).
- Both sides: buys both outcomes of the same market on 30% of the markets played.
- Concentration: 31% of this month's profit comes from the 3 best bets.
Can you copy this trader?
Wins through sizing. At equal stakes, this month's picks lose (−4.6% over 181 settled bets): the profit comes from staking far more on the bets that come in. A fixed-stake copier only gets the picks.
Copying the bets of the last 30 days at $5 per bet would have returned −$107 on $2,905 staked over 581 bets (−3.7%), and −$363 without the 5 best bets.
Picks at equal stakes: −4.6% on average over 181 settled bets (the return of the bets if each had the same stake).
PolyCopy simulation on Polymarket's public data: $5 per bet, bought 1% above the trader's price, bot fee (2%) and Polymarket fees included, open positions valued at their current price. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
To copy traders whose picks hold up over 12 months, see our verified traders and our 6-point method.
Public address: 0x96489abcb9f583d6835c8ef95ffc923d05a86825 · Polymarket profile