balthazar: Polymarket trader profile

Results

• All-time+$1.16M on $79,778,634 traded
• Last 30 days+$1.02M on $7,019,625 traded

Source: Polymarket, refreshed every 10 minutes.

All-time results by topic: politics +$522,105, sports +$403,940, weather +$70,452.

Playing style this month

• Pace: 706 new positions a day on average, 2,060 orders filled a day, measured on a 6.5-day sample (the account places tens of thousands of orders a month).
• Markets: 26% long-term sports, 23% tech, 17% sports of this month's stakes.
• In-play: 12% of the stakes are placed during games.
• Median buy price: 0.80 (mostly favourites).
• Near-certainties: 65% of the stakes on outcomes priced above 0.90.
• Concentration: 21% of this month's profit comes from the 3 best bets.
• Technical operations: 24% of the account's operations are merges or conversions of shares.

Can you copy this trader?

High-frequency bot. With 706 new positions a day, you would have to place hundreds of orders daily, arrive later at a worse price and pay fees on every one: the margin doesn't survive copying.

Copying the bets of the last 30 days at $5 per bet would have returned +$410 on $22,785 staked over 4,557 bets (+1.8%), and −$559 without the 5 best bets.

Picks at equal stakes: +1.1% on average over 3218 settled bets (the return of the bets if each had the same stake).

PolyCopy simulation on Polymarket's public data: $5 per bet, bought 1% above the trader's price, bot fee (2%) and Polymarket fees included, open positions valued at their current price. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

To copy traders whose picks hold up over 12 months, see our verified traders and our 6-point method.

Public address: 0x5a218c7ad04135830a45c41aaed7294df7809318 · Polymarket profile