🌍 Geopolitics
KrackenSruster: a verified Polymarket trader
War in Ukraine, US–Iran negotiations, Middle East ceasefires: positions taken several days ahead, at mid-range prices.
Results on Polymarket
- All-time+$274,417 on $8,040,079 traded
- Last 30 days+$9,075 on $93,888 traded
Source: Polymarket, refreshed every 10 minutes.
Profile
- Pace: 6 to 13 bets a week
- Timing: about 9 days before the outcome
- Price after their buys: +2% median one minute later, rarely more than 10%
- Entry price: around 0.50; no bet under 10 cents over the last 3 months
- Good to know: they split their orders: plan a larger budget to follow all of their bets
What copying would have returned, quarter by quarter
| Quarter | Copier at $5 per bet |
|---|---|
| Oct 2025 – Jan 2026 | +$252 |
| Jan – Apr 2026 | +$107 |
| Apr – Jul 2026 | +$51 |
| Jul – Oct 2026 | +$120 |
4 winning quarters out of 4. PolyCopy simulation on Polymarket's public data: $5 per bet, bought 1% above the trader's price, bot fee (2%) and Polymarket fees included. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Our verdict
The most consistent trader in our selection: winning in each of the four quarters, with solid picks at equal stakes. Several independent analytics sites also rank them among the best accounts.
Public address: 0xd44e974a3edb232aa4aedbdcc59792b76a5f67e2 · Polymarket profile