🕊️ Diplomacy and geopolitics
WarriorPooh: a verified Polymarket trader
Diplomatic meetings, ceasefires, government reshuffles: they bet on when events will happen, a few days ahead.
Results on Polymarket
- All-time+$170,005 on $9,899,706 traded
- Last 30 days+$7,557 on $427,906 traded
Source: Polymarket, refreshed every 10 minutes.
Profile
- Pace: about 9 bets a week
- Timing: a few days before the outcome
- Price after their buys: −1% median one minute later
- Bets won (last 3 months): 46 won, 43 lost
- Good to know: over the last 3 months, most of their profit comes from long-odds bets: a riskier profile
What copying would have returned, quarter by quarter
| Quarter | Copier at $5 per bet |
|---|---|
| Oct 2025 – Jan 2026 | +$145 |
| Jan – Apr 2026 | +$590 |
| Apr – Jul 2026 | −$23 |
| Jul – Oct 2026 | +$304 |
3 winning quarters out of 4. PolyCopy simulation on Polymarket's public data: $5 per bet, bought 1% above the trader's price, bot fee (2%) and Polymarket fees included. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Our verdict
Three winning quarters out of four. The most volatile trader in our selection: their best results come from unlikely bets that came in.
Public address: 0x853c37a959a5791b849e3f3225c7f5963746bd03 · Polymarket profile