🗳️ US elections and politics
StraddleSeller: a verified Polymarket trader
US primaries, local elections (including in Canada), candidate withdrawals, and a few markets on natural events such as the number of earthquakes.
Results on Polymarket
- All-time+$55,486 on $1,369,839 traded
- Last 30 days+$1,531 on $107,705 traded
Source: Polymarket, refreshed every 10 minutes.
Profile
- Pace: about 16 bets a week
- Timing: usually one week before the outcome
- Price after their buys: +4% median one minute later: the copier pays a little more
- Bets won (last 3 months): 60 won, 63 lost, at prices around 0.50
What copying would have returned, quarter by quarter
| Quarter | Copier at $5 per bet |
|---|---|
| Oct 2025 – Jan 2026 | +$56 |
| Jan – Apr 2026 | +$89 |
| Apr – Jul 2026 | +$66 |
| Jul – Oct 2026 | +$265 |
4 winning quarters out of 4. PolyCopy simulation on Polymarket's public data: $5 per bet, bought 1% above the trader's price, bot fee (2%) and Polymarket fees included. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Our verdict
Winning in each of the four quarters. Their prices move a little more after they buy than the others': the copier keeps less of the margin.
Public address: 0x52071e89ed7f68478a428fd65aed5dc572be686b · Polymarket profile